Friday, November 21, 2008

Real Estate Report (November 2008)

Volume 3, Issue 11 November, 2008

The Real Estate Report
Local Government News Impacting the Real Estate Industry


New Development

New Hotel Proposed for Southern Village
Southern Village developers D.R. Bryan and John Fugo unveiled a proposal to Southern Village residents in late October that features an "architecturally distinctive hotel with approximately 100 rooms," underground parking and 5,000 square feet of street-level retail space. The plan is to build on an existing parking lot, although Bryan said recently that he is open to uses other than a hotel. The key, he said, is to add another draw to a roster of businesses that includes anchors Weaver Street Market and The Lumina Movie Theater. The plan was scheduled to go before the Town Council last week but was pulled from the agenda by the developers at the last minute. For the full story, click here.

Council Gives Feedback on Homestead Road Project
The Chapel Hill Town Council gave the Cary firm The Design Response mixed feedback at a public hearing on Monday night. The firm is considering a mixed-use project along Homestead Road on the Fraley Property that would include 32 townhomes-- five "affordable" -- and two two-story buildings featuring up to 49,000 square feet of office space. Members of the Town Council offered suggestions, including improving traffic patterns, maximizing the proposed retail space and mixing the affordable housing throughout the project. For the full story, click here.


Schools

District Disagrees over Impact Fees
A proposal to increase school impact fees for the first time in seven years has the support of one of Orange County's two school districts, while the other is in favor of keeping the fee at its current level. Members of the Chapel Hill-Carrboro City School Board approved a resolution in September that urges the county commissioners to increase impact fees "in order to provide a source of funding to construct new schools to keep pace with the district's growing student population and the escalating cost of construction." The Orange County Schools Board of Education, however, agreed last month to support the current levels, adding that it "supports the county commissioners in all their efforts to fully fund our school district." For the full story, click here.


Orange County

Town Manager Projects Budget Cuts
The Chapel Hill Town Council is in the midst of deciding how to handle the local fall-out from the financial market crises. Town Manager Roger Stancil recently gave the Council an update on town revenue projections, citing that sales tax revenues are likely to be 5 to 10 percent below projections. Stancil is also projecting less revenue growth from property revaluations that will be done in 2009 and a decrease in money collected from development fees.

In order to meet those challenges, Stancil has reduced expenditures by 5 percent -- approximately $2.5 million -- and declared that no departmental positions can be filled without his approval. In response to Stancil's report, Councilman Jim Ward urged a budget cut of $1 million beyond the prescribed five percent, arguing that budget shortfalls would likely be deeper and more long lasting. For the full story, click here.

James Merritt Appointed to Chapel Hill Town Council
At a recent Town of Chapel Hill Council meeting, James Merritt was appointed by the Council to replace the late Councilman Bill Thorpe. Seven people sought the nomination to the Council, including Will Raymond, Gene Pease and Loren Hintz. Merritt, a retired middle school counselor and assistant principal, says he will focus on issues of public safety and affordable housing as well as Carolina North. For the full story, click here.

Smaller Halloween Considered a Success
Despite losses in revenue Halloween night, business owners, community officials and residents are calling the downsized Halloween celebration a success. “We really enjoyed partnering with the town officials to make it a safe Halloween,” said Robert Poitras, the owner of Carolina Brewery in Chapel Hill. There was a smaller, more manageable crowd, and officials say that Halloween was as good as they could have hoped for. However, more changes are expected next year. “I personally think it’s never small enough,” said Phil Smith, event coordinator for Chapel Hill police. Smith said town officials hope to implement and improve many of the same procedures used this year for Halloween 2009. Chapel Hill Public Information Officer Catherine Lazorko said that although cost estimates are not in for this year’s Halloween, rough estimates have it at about the same price tag as last year, $221,000. For the full story, click here.

Innovation Center on Hold
Alexandria Real Estate Equities, the firm developing the Innovation Center on Carolina North, has put the project on hold given the national economic downturn. University officials expect the project will occur once the economy turns around. The Chapel Hill Town Council is considering UNC’s request for a special use permit for the Innovation Center and will continue a public hearing on it at their January 26 meeting. For the full story, click here.

County Officials Weigh 2009-10 Budget Issues
As the nation’s economic future remains unclear, officials say it’s too early to worry about potential Orange County budget shortfalls. An early county budget report predicted a roughly $9.5 million shortfall between revenues and expenditures for the 2009-10 budget. “We do a process where we show where some budget issues will be coming up,” said Orange County Budget Director Dean Coffey. “We presented to the board things that we know are going to be issues.”
But Coffey said the predicted shortfalls may not be as drastic as the early report indicates, so county officials are not yet taking action. Coffey said it is too early to predict exactly what the budget will look like for the next fiscal year, and real budget discussions won’t begin until early 2009. For the full story, click here.

Orange County "lost" Millions
Officials may take $5.9 million from Orange County's savings account to replace money they thought they had in capital accounts. The money was not in the capital accounts but was logged in the wrong accounts or line items. The mistakes, according to Orange County Finance Director Gary Humphreys, date back at least five years before he or County Manager Laura Blackmon were hired.
"If I were to be asked to explain it to somebody else, I might be able to do it," said Commissioners Chairman Barry Jacobs. "I'm not sure I'd be right. I might be able to sound authoritative, but I'm not sure I'd be right." For the full story, click here.

Comprehensive Plan Passed
The Orange County Comprehensive Plan was passed unanimously by the Board of Commissioners during a November meeting. The Greater Chapel Hill Association of REALTORS was part of the Orange County Comprehensive Plan Coalition, which did not endorse the plan. The Coalition did not believe the plan laid out a compelling or adequate vision for growth in the County and neglected significant public input. The GCHAR will continue to be active during the implementation of the plan.
From the Daily Tar Heel


Airport Impact Study Results Questioned

N.C. State University economist Mitch Renkow is skeptical of the recently released consultant’s report suggesting a new general aviation airport would inject $40 million to $53 million each year into Orange County's economy. The study, commissioned by UNC and done by Talbert & Bright, is based on a previous study by the same firm that examined possible sites for a new airport. Renkow believes the figures are “implausibly large.” For the full story, click here.

Update from Chancellor Thorpe
Chancellor Thorp recently sent an email update to the faculty and staff of the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. In his update he highlighted how the global economic crisis will affect the University’s budget in the coming months and years. His points were as follows:
• North Carolina has cut one-time (non-permanent) state appropriations by 4 percent; an additional 1 percent is expected imminently. A 5 percent cut adds up to about $25 million for the University.
• UNC has received no word that a general state or UNC system hiring freeze is imminent. The funding designated in this year's state budget for university building repairs, renovations and new capital projects has been frozen.
• The university is planning for likely permanent (recurring) state budget cuts for fiscal 2009-2010 as revenues are expected to decline.
• The state does not completely fund the University. Other revenue streams include: tuition and fees, sales and services such as patient care, research contracts and grants, athletics, and private support.

Two New Restaurant Openings
Johnny's restaurant has opened in Carrboro at 901 West Main Street. It was formerly known as Johnny's Sporting Goods (mainly bait and tackle) and now serves gourmet coffee, pastries and bread from Durham's Guglhupf Bakery, seasonal produce and microbrew beer.

Shula’s 347 recently opened in the Sheraton Chapel Hill on Europa Drive. Shula’s serves breakfast, lunch and dinner at the full-service hotel. The restaurant’s atmosphere is casual and chic, sporting dark woods, flat panel TV’s and a sleek sports bar. Shula's 347 Grill has everything from gourmet salads to fresh specialty fish, and exclusively serves The Shula Cut—the same custom cuts and aging process from the legendary Shula's Steak House.
From the Orange County/Chapel Hill Visitors Bureau

County Turnout Tops 70 percet, Most Voting Early
The unofficial Orange County turnout numbers for the 2008 general election break records in voter turnout for the state, according to the North Carolina Board of Elections Web site. One stop voting totaled 51,964 ballots and absentee voting by mail accounted for 3,466. Additionally, 19,490 residents voted in the traditional manner on Election Day. In total, over 70 percent of eligible Orange County voters voted. For more information on this year’s voter turnout in Orange County and throughout the state, visit the N.C. Board of Elections Web site at www.sboe.state.nc.us. For the full story, click here.

Orange County Election Results

N.C. State Senate District 23
Candidate Percent Votes
Ellie Kinnaird 73.37 51,739
Jon G. Bass 26.63 18,780

N.C. House of Representatives District 50
Candidate Percent Votes
Bill Faison 100 17,894

N.C. House of Representatives District 54
Candidate Percent Votes
Joe Hackney 100 7,236

N.C. House of Representatives District 56
Candidate Percent Votes
Verla Insko 100 30,835

Orange County Board of Commissioners At-Large
Candidate Percent Votes
Bernadette Pelissier 69.48 48,115
Kevin Wolff 30.52 21,132

Orange County Board of Commissioners District 1 (pick 2)
Candidate Percent Votes
Valerie Foushee 53.38 50,556
Pam Hemminger 46.62 44,155

Orange County Board of Commissioners District 2
Candidate Percent Votes
Steve Yuhasz 100 54,670


The Triangle

Credit Crunch Delaying Chatham School
With credit markets tightening, Chatham County officials say their plans to build a fourth high school in the northeastern part of the county have been delayed as very few of the 12,000-14,000 homes approved there have been built. The County is focusing its school infrastructure investments in renovations to Northwood High School in Pittsboro and completing a new middle school in the Briar Chapel area. Chatham County Schools Superintendent Robert Logan says the renovations to Northwood should be finished by August 2009 and the new middle school will be done by August of 2010. For the full story, click here.

Chatham to Revalue Properties
After examining delaying property revaluations for one year, Chatham County Commissioners said they would not hold off but institute new values on January 1. Initially, the Commissioners were interested in delaying the revaluation to give tax payers a financial break, however data from the County tax office show the savings would not be significant. George Lucier, chair of the Commissioners says, "The estimated costs of a one-year delay were considerably higher than initial reports indicated.” For the full story, click here.

Durham Performing Arts Center Slated to Open November 30
Construction workers are putting the finishing touches on the new Durham Performing Arts Center. The Center, along with the Durham Bulls Athletic Park and American Tobacco complex, is a cornerstone of the transformation of Downtown Durham. Blues legend B.B. King, who will give a concert November 30, will be the first performer in the new, 2,800-seat theater. The city of Durham is sponsoring a free, public open house and ribbon-cutting December 1. On Dec. 13, R&B artist John Legend will be the guest artist for the inaugural celebration of the performing arts center. Tickets for events that have been announced are available at www.DPACnc.com, or through www.Ticketmaster.com.

Light Rail Plans Possibly Changed
Officials are now thinking a future rail-based transit system in the Triangle can use lightweight coaches and engines over its entire 56-mile length, rather than the heavyweight units they once envisioned. The potential change in approach comes after managers of the N.C. Railroad Co. signaled last month that they believe the region's main east-west rail corridor is wide enough to support a stop-and-go light-rail system for local traffic and heavier commuter trains for people arriving here from places as far afield as Greensboro and Goldsboro.

Light and heavier rail would share the corridor with the Norfolk Southern and CSX freight trains that will continue traveling through the area, planners say. “It's been done elsewhere," Durham Transportation Manager Mark Ahrendsen said, "Definitely not on the same tracks, but on the same right of way." For the full story, click here.

Glaxo Makes RTP Sole Headquarters
GlaxoSmithKline will make Research Triangle Park its sole U.S. headquarters and cut almost 2,000 sales jobs, the company said recently. The move eliminates the dual headquarters that London-based GSK has had in the U.S. since the 2000 merger that created GSK. Company spokeswoman Mary Anne Rhyne says the move makes sense in the midst of a major restructuring for GSK, “The announcements today are all aimed at streamlining the organization, and simplifying the business model.” RTP was picked over its Philadelphia office in part because the company has a bigger footprint here. The company has about 5,000 workers in RTP and owns 35 buildings on that campus. Rhyne says GSK also expects its new head of U.S. pharmaceuticals to be based in RTP. For the full story, click here.


State

Federal Reserve Bank Expects Recession to mid-2009
Minutes from the Fed’s Open Market Committee show that its members believe the national economy has been in a recession since the summer and will continue to struggle through the first two quarters of 2009. The bank says declining gas prices should ward off inflationary pressure. For the full story, click here.

State Unemployment Hits Seven Percent
The Employment Security Commission released figures for October which showed the State unemployment rate at seven percent. In October of last year, unemployment was at 4.7 percent. North Carolina’s unemployment rate is now higher than the national rate, which is 6.5 percent. Nevertheless, the state did create 5,076 jobs in October with most of those increases occurring in the construction industry. For the full story, click here.

Online Shopping Growth Slowing
According to a new report from ComScore, U.S. consumers are shopping less, even on-line. The study shows that online spending grew 6 percent in the third quarter, down sharply from a 13 percent annual growth rate in the second quarter. ComScore also surveyed 1,000 consumers about current attitudes on the economy. The survey results show that 27 percent expect the economy to be worse a year from now, while 50 percent expect it to be the same or better. For the full story, click here.

Restaurant Index Reaches Record Low
The National Restaurant Association’s Restaurant Performance Index (RPI) was released recently and reported contraction in the industry. The RPI measures industry health using four key indicators: same-store sales, traffic, labor, and capital expenditures. In September, the RPI reached an all-time low of 96.7 (100 is steady-state); figures below 100 represent contraction, figures above 100 represent expansion. September marked the 13th consecutive month the index dipped below 100. For the full story, click here.




The Real Estate Report is produced monthly by the Chapel Hill Chamber of Commerce and the Greater Chapel Hill Association of Realtors

Monday, October 27, 2008

Real Estate Report (October 2008)

October, 2008

The Real Estate Report
Local Government News Impacting the Real Estate Industry



Events

Breakfast with Congressman David Price-November 13
On November 13, from 8-9:30am, the Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber of Commerce will host a Breakfast with David Price at the Carolina Club. On the coattails of the presidential election, this event will give attendees an opportunity to hear how Washington will be affected by the new administration.
Congressman Price will also provide an update about Federal action taken in the mortgage and financial downturn, a review of the last session, and what he expects congress to be taking up over the next year. There will be an extended question and answer session as well.

Members of the GCHAR will receive the $25 member rate; cost is $35 for non-members. You can register online by clicking here or by calling 967-7075. This event is sponsored by: AICPA, the Daily Tar Heel, AT&T and 1360 WCHL. More sponsorship opportunities are available, please contact Karen Bonardi at 967-7076.



New Development

300 E. Main Approved
After almost five years, 300 E. Main St. in Carrboro can break ground. The development, which spans from Cat’s Cradle to the ArtsCenter, unanimously was approved on October 7 after several impassioned speeches from members of the Carrboro Board of Aldermen and years of back and forth about the project’s potential impact. The development, by Main Street Properties, will include a five-story hotel, office buildings and a parking deck. For the full story, click here.

Buckhorn Village Gets Go-ahead
The Orange County Board of Commissioners unanimously approved the Buckhorn Village development on October 7, with several conditions. The approval comes nearly a year after the idea for the retail center was proposed. The 1.14-million-square-foot retail center is slated to be built in Efland, a 20-minute drive northwest of downtown Chapel Hill, after developers clarify some of the language in the 118-page agenda. Buckhorn Village would cover 128 acres and potentially include retail stores, restaurants, a movie theater and minor residential complexes. For the full story, click here.

Woodmont Will Move Forward
The Chapel Hill Town Council voted September 8 to approve several measures that will allow the Woodmont development project off of N.C. Highway 54 to continue. The council approved a rezoning application, a master land use plan application and a special use permit that the development needs to proceed.

Representatives from Capital Associates in Cary, who are in charge of the development, presented materials and plans for the proposed 33-acre site that will house office space, condominiums and retail. For the full story, click here.


Schools

School Number 11 Takes Shape
A new elementary school scheduled to open in 2011 is still in the early planning stages, but Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools officials now have a better idea of what it's going to be like. The CHCCS Board of Education in June selected a site in the Northside neighborhood for Elementary No. 11, and county commissioners approved the site on September 2. “Elementary No. 11 will be built on an eight-acre site between Caldwell and McMasters streets, where the former Orange County Training School is located. Northside residents have responded positively so far to having a school in their neighborhood. For the full story, click here.

District Disagrees Over Impact Fees
A proposal to increase school impact fees for the first time in seven years has the support of one of Orange County's two school districts, while the other is in favor of keeping the fee at its current level. Members of the Chapel Hill-Carrboro City School Board approved a resolution in September that urges the county commissioners to increase impact fees "in order to provide a source of funding to construct new schools to keep pace with the district's growing student population and the escalating cost of construction." The Orange County Schools Board of Education, however, agreed last month to support the current levels, adding that it "supports the county commissioners in all their efforts to fully fund our school district." For the full story, click here.

Orange County SAT Scores Up from 2006-07
The Orange County Schools system’s recently released SAT (Scholastic Achievement Test) overall score was 1043, up 3 points from 2006-07. That figure is 36 points above the state average of 1007 and 26 points ahead of the national average of 1017. “Orange County Schools outperformed their state and national counterparts in all ethnic groups and gender groups,” says Superintendent Patrick Rhodes. “We tested 77.5 percent of all seniors. That’s the fourth highest percentage in the state.”

Orange High School saw the biggest gain from its 2006-07 scores — 1039 versus 999 — a 40-point jump. The number of students who took the SAT was also up, from 161 to 126, which translated to 72.5 percent of the seniors, an 8.1 percent increase from 2006-2007. To see how Orange County and other North Carolina schools did, click here. For the full story, click here.

Board Approves Technology Pilot Program
Two local schools, Culbreth Middle and Scroggs Elementary, are moving forward with a pilot program that will bring new educational technologies -- including the iPod Touch -- into the classroom. The Chapel Hill-Carrboro Board of Education approved an agreement in mid-October with N.C. Virtual Public Schools, a state government organization that will test cutting-edge educational techniques at both schools later this school year before possibly using them statewide. The agreement gives each school $30,000 to buy audio/video equipment and mobile technology devices such as the iPod Touch.
From the Chapel Hill News


Orange County

Bill Thorpe, Long-Serving Councilmember, Dies
Bill Thorpe, long-time Chapel Hill Town Council member and fighter for civil rights, died in his home in early October from heart problems. Thorpe was the voice for the least fortunate during his total of 11 years on the council and almost 40 years living in Chapel Hill. “He really kept our feet to the fire as far as remembering what our values were,” council member Mark Kleinschmidt said. “He always understood that issues that we worked on involved the lives of people.” For the full story, click here.

Halloween Changes Set
With Halloween crowds swelling to more than 80,000, a size that requires law enforcement officers to be brought in from the Triangle and Triad, Chapel Hill Town Manager Roger Stancil has announced “Homegrown Halloween in Chapel Hill.” This year’s Halloween Celebration will differ from those in years past in order to better ensure the safety of attendees. Below is a list of changes, for more information you can visit www.townofchapelhill.org/halloween.

• Downtown street closures beginning at 9 p.m.
• Little to no parking in the downtown
• No park and ride shuttles
• Bars will not allow new patrons in after 1 a.m.
• A $5 (or more) cover charge to enter bars after 10 p.m.
• Franklin Street will reopen to traffic at midnight

Overview of Chapel Hill Development Projects
At the 2008 Orange County Development Briefing, Chapel Hill Economic Development Officer Dwight Bassett presented the following table detailing projects approved or under construction in town. Note that of projects approved, 39 percent of the square footage is dedicated to non-residential use. In total, over 2.4 million square feet in new projects will be or are underway at total investment of $435 million. The County’s recent approval of Buckhorn Village (see above), will add another 1 million square feet of commercial space and $125 million in private investment.

Project
Residential SF
Nonresidential SF
Investment
East 54 238,904 248,701 $130,000,000
Greenbridge 182,540 37,847 $30,000,000
140 West 176,919 30,690 $75,000,000
Chapel Hill North (unbuilt section) 150,000 0 $0
Chapel Hill Watch Village 182,000 0 $0
Castalia at Meadowmont 24,000 52,000 $7,900,000
Europa Office Building 0 38,000 $5,500,00
Woodmont 150,000 450,500 $145,000,000
Cosgrove Hill (3) 169,000 50,000 $17,000,000
Homestead Twin Towns 125,000 0 $25,000,000
Total 1,398,363 907,738 $435,400,000

Downtown Parking Study Finalized, Input Encouraged
On Thursday, October 30 from 5:30-7:00pm, the Chapel Hill Downtown Partnership will host a public forum to gather input on the recently completed downtown parking study. The forum will take place at University Presbyterian Church at 110 Henderson Street. If you would like to view the study’s findings and recommendations, click here or click here for the detailed study findings.

Unemployment Rate Drops Across Triangle
The NC Employment Security Commission announced Friday that unemployment dropped around the Triangle. In the Raleigh-Cary metro, September unemployment was at 5.3 percent, down from 5.4 percent in August. In the Durham metro, which includes Chapel Hill, unemployment dropped from 5.4 to 5.2 percent from August to September. During this period, the Durham metro added 2,300 government jobs, offsetting the loss of 1,200 jobs in manufacturing, financial activities, trade and other services. For the full story click here.

Consultant's Study Describes Airport's Economic Potential
A May 2008 report by Talbert & Bright says that a new Orange County airport could have an economic impact of up to $53 million a year, which is more than four times the amount Horace Williams Airport pumps into the community. The consultants’ report bases their findings on surveys of airport managers, tenants, and major users and calls the estimated impact of $40 million to $53 million conservative. For the full story, click here.

Leaders Call for a Better Brand
At the most recent Downtown Partnership Board of Directors meeting, members discussed the idea of developing a single identity or brand for the downtown area. George Draper, chairman of the Chapel Hill Downtown Partnership’s board of directors, thinks that Chapel Hill should be known for more than UNC athletics and downtown parties. “Downtown Chapel Hill has branded itself for a lot of reasons, but it’s more associated with the college,” he said. “As a property owner and as a member of the board, I would like to see similar type of branding, but for more than basketball and Halloween.” For the full story, click here.

OWASA Approves Water Restriction Changes
On Thursday, the OWASA Board of Directors endorsed revisions to water restrictions that will now be passed on to Chapel Hill, Carrboro and Orange County leaders for review. The most significant changes will affect restrictions on irrigation and swimming pool filling. Board member Alan Rimer praised the work of OWASA staff in simplifying the water restriction ordinance, which he said proved confusing to many residents last summer. "I think we have a much tighter set of standards now. The ordinance is one of the best I've seen in the country," Rimer said. For the full story, click here.

County Officials Weigh 2009-10 Budget Issues
As the nation’s economic future remains unclear, officials said it’s too early to worry about potential Orange County budget shortfalls. An early county budget report predicted a roughly $9.5 million shortfall between revenues and expenditures for the 2009-10 budget. “We do a process where we show where some budget issues will be coming up,” said Orange County Budget Director Dean Coffey. “We presented to the board things that we know are going to be issues.”

But Coffey said the predicted shortfalls may not be as drastic as the early report indicates, so county officials are not yet taking action. Coffey said it is too early to predict exactly what the budget will look like for the next fiscal year, and real budget discussions won’t begin until early 2009. For the full story, click here.


The Triangle

$650 Million Railroad Expansion Proposed
State and local officials are preparing to expand North Carolina’s commuter railroad service to support a growing population and boost economic development. The N.C. Railroad Company released an 11-month study in early October that proposes a $650 million expansion and transformation of the current freight system into a commuter rail system. The total expansion could cover 141 miles and offer commuter rail service to two to three million North Carolinians.

The project could cost as much as $2 million to $9 million per mile, including a possible $23.6 million expansion that will extend to Chapel Hill, said Scott Saylor, president of the N.C. Railroad Company. David Bonk, Chapel Hill long range and transportation coordinator, said Durham, Wake and Orange counties are currently discussing the possibility of incorporating rail into their transportation systems in the next 25 years. For the full story, click here.

Durham Plant Closing; 428 to Lose Jobs

Silver Line Building Products will shutter its plant in Durham, according to the state Department of Commerce. Silver Line, which makes vinyl windows and patio doors, expects the closure to be effective as of December 20. The company located in the Triangle just four years ago and received about $200,000 in grant incentives. For the full story, click here.

Credit Crunch Delaying Chatham School
With credit markets tightening, Chatham County officials say their plans to build a fourth high school in the northeastern part of the county have been delayed as very few of the 12,000-14,000 homes approved there have been built. The County is focusing its school infrastructure investments in renovations to Northwood High School in Pittsboro and completing a new middle school in the Briar Chapel area. Chatham County Schools Superintendent Robert Logan says the renovations to Northwood should be finished by August 2009 and the new middle school will be done by August of 2010. For the full story, click here.

Raleigh Plaza Breaks Ground
Last Monday, the city of Raleigh broke ground on a $14.8 million high-tech public square. The project, called City Plaza, is located at the south end of Fayetteville Street and leaders hope it will become a major gathering spot in downtown. The plaza will include 45-foot-tall light towers, a motion-sensitive water fountain and four retail pavilions. City Manager Russell Allen said the project is nearly completely financed with only $1 million remaining and will be unaffected by the larger economic downturn. For the full story, click here.


State

Real Estate Market to Hit Bottom in 2009
Real estate investors and professionals say U.S. financial and real estate markets will hit bottom in 2009 and continue to slump for much of 2010, according to a report by the Urban Land Institute and PricewaterhouseCoopers. The annual industry outlook includes responses from more than 600 real estate experts, including investors, developers, property company representatives, lenders, brokers and consultants.

According to the report, moderate-income apartments in core urban markets near mass transit offer the best investment opportunities, a consistent trend from the previous year. Downtown office space is expected to outperform suburban markets and retail development is generally near the bottom but still has a bit farther to fall. The housing industry faces more foreclosures and likely no rebound in values for 2009, according to the report. For the full story, click here.

Fed's Beige Book Released, Cites Slowing Economy
The Federal Reserve’s Beige Book for the Carolinas was released last week detailing the slowing regional economy during late August and throughout September. The report gives anecdotal evidence of economic trends and cited slumps in “big-ticket” retail purchases such as automobiles, furniture and appliances. Health care organizations saw little change in demand for services but are concerned that the slowdown in the economy might lead to a glut of unpaid bills. For the full story, click here.

The Real Estate Report is produced monthly by the Chapel Hill Chamber of Commerce and the Greater Chapel Hill Association of Realtors

Wednesday, September 24, 2008

The Real Estate Report (September 2008)

September, 2008

The Real Estate Report
Local Government News Impacting the Real Estate Industry


Schools

Orange County School SAT scores up from 2006-07
The Orange County Schools system’s recently released SAT (Scholastic Achievement Test) overall score was 1043, up 3 points from 2006-07. That figure is 36 points above the state average of 1007 and 26 points ahead of the national average of 1017.

“Orange County Schools outperformed their state and national counterparts in all ethnic groups and gender groups,” says Superintendent Patrick Rhodes. “We tested 77.5 percent of all seniors. That’s the fourth highest percentage in the state.”
Orange High School saw the biggest gain from its 2006-07 scores — 1039 versus 999 — a 40-point jump. The number of students who took the SAT was also up, from 161 to 126, which translated to 72.5 percent of the seniors, an 8.1 percent increase from 2006-2007. To see how Orange County and other North Carolina schools did, click here. To read the full story, click here.


Board approves technology pilot program
Two local schools are moving forward with a pilot program that will bring new educational technologies -- including the iPod Touch -- into the classroom.
The Chapel Hill-Carrboro Board of Education approved an agreement Wednesday night with N.C. Virtual Public Schools, a state government organization that will test cutting-edge educational techniques at Culbreth Middle School and Scroggs Elementary School later this school year before possibly using them statewide.
The agreement gives each school $30,000 to buy audio/video equipment and mobile technology devices such as the iPod Touch. To read the full story, click here.


Carrboro High School Names New Principal

At the end of July, the Chapel Hill-Carrboro City School Board named Kelly Batten, currently the assistant principal of Leesville Road High School in Wake County, as principal of Carrboro High School. This announcement came a few weeks after the Board received the resignation of Jeff Thomas. Batten has served as assistant principal at Leesville Road for six years and prior to that was a high school social studies teacher at Sanderson High School, also in Wake County. For the full story, click here.

ABC Results Released

In August, the North Carolina State Department of Public Instruction released the ABC growth results for the Chapel Hill-Carrboro City School District. Thirteen of the district’s schools attained “high-growth”, up from twelve last year, while four schools met “expected growth”. Growth is a measurement of how much students have improved from one year to the next, with high growth being the highest designation of improvement.

The thirteen high-growth schools were Chapel Hill High School, Carrboro High School, Scroggs Elementary, Estes Hills Elementary, Culbreth Middle, Carrboro Elementary, McDougle Middle School, Smith Middle School, Glenwood Elementary, Phillips Middle, Ephesus Elementary, Seawell Elementary and Rashkis Elementary. The expected growth schools were McDougle Elementary, Frank Porter Graham Elementary, the Hospital School and East Chapel Hill High School. The “School of Excellence” and “School of Distinction” awards should be forthcoming. For the full story, click here.


Orange County

Chamber and Partners Launch Marketing Brochure
The Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber of Commerce, in partnership with economic developers at Orange County, the Towns of Chapel Hill and Carrboro, the Downtown Partnership, and the University, recently launched an Economic Development Marketing Brochure. The brochure is an electronic document touting Orange County’s assets and strengths to businesses interested in relocating or starting-up in the area. Given the large amount of office space coming online over the next few years, the brochure will be useful in promoting the ara and expanding the job and commercial tax base. If you would like to view a copy of the brochure or distribute it to clients, click here.

Woodmont Will Move Forward
The Chapel Hill Town Council voted September 8 to approve several measures that will allow the Woodmont development project off of N.C. Highway 54 to continue. The Council approved a rezoning application, a master land use plan application and a special use permit that the development needs to proceed.

Representatives from Capital Associates in Cary, who are in charge of the development, presented materials and plans for the proposed 33-acre site that will house office space, condominiums and retail. For the full story, click here.

No quarter-cent Increase to Orange County Sales Tax
County commissioners decided that economic conditions would make a November 4 ballot initiative on increasing the local sales tax a tough sell "even in progressive Orange County." The extra 0.25 cent was estimated to have raised an additional $1.8 million to $2.2 million for the county. Commissioners did make plans to discuss placing it on the ballot in November 2009. To read the full story, click here.

Carrboro Approves New Mixed-use Project
The Carrboro Board of Aldermen approved a rezoning and a conditional use permit that will allow developers to build a five-story mixed-use building on Brewer Lane. The building, to be called The Butler, is a five-story mixed-use building on the property behind the ArtsCenter Building. Urban Ventures LLC., plans for the building to contain 22,170 square feet of office space and 57 dwelling units. The developer worked with Orange Community Housing and Land Trust and came to an agreement to make a payment-in-lieu for four of the nine units. The other five units will be single bedroom units, which fulfills Carrboro’s affordable housing rules. It is estimated that the payment in lieu would be $90,000 to $100,000 per unit for the affordable housing. To read the full story, click here.

Chapel Hill Planning Board Holds Glen Lennox NCD Information Session
Last night, the Chapel Hill Planning Board held an information session aimed at giving residents of Glen Lennox and surrounding neighborhoods an overview of the Neighborhood Conservation District. Residents asked questions about who is able to participate in the process and whether existing homes would be grandfathered in under current zoning regulations if new restrictions are imposed. In addition to this information meeting, Glen Lennox neighbors and residents and representatives from Grubb Properties will also come together in a more informal setting in October to discuss plans for the area. For the full story, click here.

Innovation Center Backers Urge Town to OK Permit
Members of the business, technology and academic communities lobbied the
Chapel Hill Town Council to approve the Special Use Permit for the Innovation Center at a recent Council meeting, citing economic development considerations and research opportunities. "I think the Innovation Center would make a big difference for companies like us," Ginger Rothrock said. Ms. Rothrock’s company, Liquidia, relocated to Morrisville after it expanded its operation to 35 employees and needed to find space beyond UNC-Chapel Hill lab space.

Shelton Earp, director of UNC's Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center, said that major pharmaceutical companies are moving away from the development side of the industry, leaving an unmet need that academics are willing and eager to fill. The Innovation Center would help such researchers stay in town and develop their ideas into businesses. To read the full story, click here.

Chapel Hill Creates Sustainability Office
Town Manager Roger Stancil has announced the creation of the Office of Sustainability at the Town of Chapel Hill to address growing challenges associated with issues such as energy efficiency, environmental protection and social justice. The Office of Sustainability will be staffed by John Richardson, the Town's long range and sustainability planner who joined the Town staff in fall 2007.
From Chapel Hill eNews

County Reaches Highest Unemployment Rate in 18 years
The unemployment rate in Orange County reached its highest point in 18 years in July, reflecting economic trends across the state, according to the Employment Security Commission of North Carolina. Orange's 5.1 percent rate is the seventh lowest among the state's 100 counties, but still higher than the previous county high of 5.0 percent in June 2003. Unemployment rates in neighboring Durham, Wake and Chatham counties rose as well. To read the full story, click here.

Mayor Solicits Public on Library Expansion
The Chapel Hill Town Council recently heard a staff and library board-approved plan to close the Chapel Hill Public Library for 14 months during expansion construction and move the town library to an undetermined temporary location. This plan is an effort to help the Town Council make a decision regarding the issuance of $16 million in bonds for improvements of the library.

A more thorough report on the project will be given in October as the Council gets closer to a decision on whether to issue the bonds or not. Issuance of the bonds, approved by a November 2003 referendum, will lead to higher taxes. At the September 8 Council meeting, Mayor Foy asked the public for feedback as to whether the library expansion was an appropriate use for increased tax dollars. For the full story, click here.

Courtyard May Face Foreclosure
Wachovia Bank is trying to foreclose on The Courtyard on West Franklin Street and sell it, a move that would wrest the small retail and office center from its owner. The bank filed a request late last month for a foreclosure hearing in Orange County Superior Court, saying Spencer C. Young Investments was not making payments on $2.63 million it had borrowed in 2005 to buy the property. For the full story, click here.


Eastgate Shopping Center Prepares for New Stores

Eastgate Shopping Center, located near the intersection of Franklin Street and Fordham Boulevard, is preparing for four new stores set to open between late summer and winter. Starbucks is likely to open in late 2008 as will Performance Bicycle. Massage Envy, a membership based clinic, is scheduled to open later this month. The final store, Carmine’s, is a locally-owned Italian restaurant that uses a combination of local produce and products imported from Italy. Carmine’s will open in the former Sal’s location in September.
From the Chapel Hill Herald

Southern Community Park Nearly Finished
Southern Community Park, located south of Southern Village and west of 15-501, has been under construction for one year and is 90 percent finished according to the Town of Chapel Hill. The park is 72 acres and will feature three athletic/soccer fields, two basketball courts, an inline hockey court, a two-acre dog park, a meadow area, trails, a play area, and a disk golf course. The project is being funded by Orange County, Chapel Hill, and a North Carolina Parks and Recreation Trust Fund grant. The park is set to open this fall, though three of the athletic fields won’t open until sometime in 2009 as the turf has not fully grown in.
From the Chapel Hill eNews


Second Quarter Office/Retail Figures Released by Grubb and Ellis
Grubb and Ellis released their retail and office market figures for the second quarter recently. In the Chapel Hill office market, Smith Breeden vacated 50,000 square feet at the Europa Center, though 13,000 square feet was backfilled by Community First Financial Group. In Southern Village, the John Edwards campaign also vacated nearly 16,000 square feet. The relocations caused Chapel Hill’s office vacancy to rise 16 percent; current asking rent for Class A office space is $22.94.

In the Orange County retail market, vacancy totaled 5.27 percent and there was negative net absorption over the past quarter. Around 60,000 square feet of retail is under construction, most of which is located in mixed use projects throughout the County. To provide a relative size comparison, retail project Buckhorn Village, which is scheduled to be voted on by the Commissioners in September, is over 1 million square feet.
From Grubb and Ellis Research


The Triangle

City of Durham Opposes Federal Foreign-Animal-Disease Research Lab
The Durham City Council approved a resolution to oppose building the National Bio and Agro-Defense Facility in Butner. The Durham City Council joined several area boards that have come out against building the high-security civilian research lab in Granville County. Other foes include the Durham County Board of Commissioners, the Raleigh City Council and the Butner Town Commission.


NBAF is backed by some state government, academic, agriculture and biotechnology officials who believe the project could be a boon to the state and is needed to improve the nation's defenses against biological terrorism. To read the full story, click here.

Triangle Office Market Figures Released
Colliers Pinkard released second quarter figures for the Triangle office market. Overall, the market slowed slightly in the second quarter as vacancy rates climbed from 13.7 to 14.4 percent over last quarter. Rental rates also rose from $19.40 in the first quarter to $19.60, which Colliers Pinkard attributed to increased development costs and aggressive investment underwriting.

Going forward, Collier Pinkard forecasts that office vacancy will rise slightly in the coming quarter due to slowing net absorption. Overall, though, the Triangle market should remain strong due to a projected 2 percent employment growth and continued migration to the area.
From Colliers Pinkard Market Report


State


Federal Grant Will Aid New Energy-efficient State Building Code
North Carolina has won a federal grant to develop and implement an innovative energy-efficient state code for building, construction and renovation that will save consumers up to $40 million annually on utility bills.

The grant will be used to develop a new set of requirements for building construction to make homes and offices more energy efficient and to provide training and technical assistance to improve compliance with codes. For the full story, click here.

New Study Suggests Most Subprime Loans Went to Wealthier Buyers
ComplianceTech, an Arlington, Virginia based consulting firm, recently published a new survey that shows more than two-thirds of high-rate mortgages issues in 2006 went to middle and upper income borrowers. Further, more than 55 percent of those loans went to white borrowers—from 2004 to 2006, white borrowers had more subprime loans than all minorities combined. In 2006, upper-income borrowers accounted for 39.37 percent of subprime loans, followed by 27.55 percent for middle-income, 20.99 percent for moderate-income, and 7.57 percent for low-income borrowers. For the full story, click here.


The Real Estate Report is produced by The Chapel Hill Chamber of Commerce and the Greater Chapel Hill Association of REALTORS.